The authors — who include advocates at PrEP4All and Partners In Health and scientists at Harvard Medical School, Columbia University, New York University and the University of Saskatchewan — conclude that about 22 billion doses of high-quality mRNA vaccines are now needed, given omicron’s ability to evade some of the immune protection conferred by prior vaccination shots. That projection would require producing an additional 15 billion doses of mRNA vaccines this year.
“With the pandemic, the global is the local. And the local is the global,” said James Krellenstein of Prep4All, pointing to omicron’s recent emergence in Southern Africa as the latest illustration of how virus variants jump borders. “What happens in Cape Town influences what happens in Brooklyn three weeks later. And what happened in Wuhan influenced what happened in Brooklyn six weeks later.”
President Biden has vowed that the United States will be an “arsenal of vaccines” for the world, pledging to donate more than 1 billion doses to other nations, a total that far outpaces other countries. The Biden administration also has moved to invest billions of dollars in expanding vaccine manufacturing capacity to support global needs.
But the report’s authors said the White House had disregarded a year of warnings to more quickly ramp up mRNA vaccine production. Only 7 billion vaccine mRNA vaccine doses are expected to be produced this year, according to manufacturers’ projections.
“You are not going to protect the American people — full stop, it does not work — until you work, seriously, to bring the pandemic under control globally. And the administration has not learned that lesson,” Krellenstein said.
Vaccine manufacturers also have warned that limits on raw materials have constrained their ability to produce new doses.
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